Probabilistic Thinking →
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Updating

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Using probabilistic thinking involves Epistemic Rationality.

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Thinking is the act of shifting beliefs

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  1. Bayes’ Theorem: posteriors are determined by a combination of prior probabilities and data / likelihood
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  1. Predictability: truth is determined through what can be predicted ( #Knowledge as testable prediction)
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(2 and 3 redundant)

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