“The final upshot is that Science is not easily reconciled with probability theory. If you do a probability-theoretic calculation correctly, you’re going to get the rational answer. Science doesn’t trust your rationality, and it doesn’t rely on your ability to use probability theory as the arbiter of truth. It wants you to set up a definitive experiment.” (Eliezer Yudkowsky, Rationality)

Relevant for Probabilistic thinking is prediction, science is verification

“The final upshot is that Science is not easily reconciled with probability theory. If you do a probability-theoretic calculation correctly, you’re going to get the rational answer. Science doesn’t trust your rationality, and it doesn’t rely on your ability to use probability theory as the arbiter of truth. It wants you to set up a definitive experiment.” (Eliezer Yudkowsky, Rationality)

Relevant for Probabilistic thinking is prediction, science is verification

Probabilistic thinking is prediction, science is verification