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Remember the difference between Concern vs Disagreement

When probabilities are presented in different ways, they can lead to irrational inconsistencies in the way people make chioces. It is worth understanding this further, and to see what underlies this type of inconsistency:

“What we all need, as citizens, is to develop more skill in applying our skepticism. We need to spot false narratives, and also turn aside those who would replace them with pure fiction. Either we get this right or we cease to be free citizens.” (Steve Inskeep, A Finder’s Guide to Facts)