Given
A belief is a degree of certainty
Thinking is the act of shifting beliefs
Probabilities have orders of magnitude
We can understand that 100% certainty and 0% certainty are essentially impossible.
For the same reason we cannot reach 100% certainty, we also have to accept that we can always be wrong.
As Using log odds reveals the distance between uncertainties, we realize that we would need infinite evidence to be 100% certain.
Another way of putting it, 99.99% certainty means if you make 10,000 guesses of this certainty you’ll only be wrong on average 1 time.