There are no surprising facts, only models that are surprised by facts
Bayesian design
novel
Tag line
Descriptive
Prescriptive
Discussion (what it means or how it might be applied)
An architecture is, in some form, a model of the system that exists or will one day exist in real life. As stated by George Box (and many others): All models are wrong, some are useful.
In Bayesian probability, prior probabilities are used to
This means
Accounting for surprise means building architectures that integrate the prior probabilities into their model
Kaizen, architecture must either be flexible, or broad enough to account for adjustments in prior probabilities.
Historical reference (philosophy, etc)
Source
Surprise