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It may even be more than a metaphor, if we take the idea that Entropy is the tendency of a system to progress towards technical simplicity, and Bayes’ Theorem may be a tool for helping us see the flow of Entropy.
“People have goals, of course, but projecting goals onto the workings of nature is an illusion. Things can happen without anyone taking into account their effects on human happiness. This insight of the Scientific Revolution and the Enlightenment was deepened by the discovery of entropy. Not only does the universe not care about our desires, but in the natural course of events it will appear to thwart them, because there are so many more ways for things to go wrong than for them to go right. Houses burn down, ships sink, battles are lost for want of a horseshoe nail.” (Steven Pinker, Enlightenment Now)
Relevant for Entropy and The universe has no purpose