A belief is a degree of certainty
In other words beliefs are your map, and the truth is the (unknown) territory: Map and Territory.
Once we understand this about our beliefs, then we can see that Thinking is the act of shifting beliefs.
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Turning to face your beliefs is the first step, because it requires you to remember that A belief is a degree of certainty and You are not stuck with your beliefs.
Since A belief is a degree of certainty, there is no use for humility about our beliefs outside of our degree of certainty.
I believe Bayes’ Theorem is the tool to use for inductive logic, because A belief is a degree of certainty.