2023/10/20

17:41

what I think he’s describing is what I might call Bayesian design

which would involve combining System Design with proper Bayesian updating

in other words, designing for the distribution of possible outcomes

understanding that losses and gains are not always symmetric

The world of coming up with general ideas for phenomena across different sectors, or Abstract, is a really messy one

Hard to know when you’re discovering something real vs when you’re stumbling onto some personal mental pattern that’s mostly BS (ie either useless or arbitrary)